Bayesian inference is a statistical method of inductive reasoning based on the reassessment of competing hypotheses in the presence of new evidence. Conceptually similar to the scientific method ...

"In this universe effect follows cause. I've complained about it, but. . ." -- House (Laurie), pre-sponding to D. Bem "The more extraordinary the event, the greater the need for it to be supported by ...

If human data fit well with Bayesian calculations, it has been said that this is only a matter of fit, and that one cannot infer anything about people's actual thought processes. Bayes's Theorem is, ...